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Encyclopedia > Gumbel distribution

In probability theory and statistics the Gumbel distribution is used to find the minimum (or the maximum) of a number of samples of various distributions. For example we would use it to find the maximum level of a river in a particular year if we had the list of maximum values for the past ten years. It is therefore useful in predicting the chance that an extreme earthquake, flood or other natural disaster will occur.

The distribution of the samples could be of the normal or exponential type. The Gumbel distribution, and similar distributions, are used in extreme value theory.

In particular, the Gumbel distribution is a special case of the Fisher-Tippett distribution, also known as the log-Weibull distribution, whose cumulative distribution function is

The Gumbel distribution is the case where μ = 0 and β = 1.

A more practical way of using the distribution could be

- 0.367 = ln( - ln(0.5))

where M is the median. To fit values one could get the median straight away and then vary A until it fits the list of values.

Its variates (i.e. to get a list of random values) can be given as ;

Its percentiles can be given by ;

x = A - Bln( - ln(p))

ie Q1 = A - Bln( - ln(.25))

The median is A - Bln( - ln(0.5))

Q3 = A - Bln( - ln(0.75))

The mean is A + gB where g = Euler's constant = 0.57721.

The standard deviation is

Its mode is A.

Results from FactBites:

 Fisher-Tippett distribution - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia (240 words) In probability theory and statistics the Gumbel distribution is used to find the minimum (or the maximum) of a number of samples of various distributions. The Gumbel distribution, and similar distributions, are used in extreme value theory. In particular, the Gumbel distribution is a special case of the Fisher-Tippett distribution, also known as the log-Weibull distribution.
 math lessons - Probability distribution (1254 words) A probability distribution is a special case of the more general notion of a probability measure, which is a function that assigns probabilities satisfying the Kolmogorov axioms to the measurable sets of a measurable space. The rectangular distribution is a uniform distribution on [-1/2,1/2]. The triangular distribution on [a, b], a special case of which is the distribution of the sum of two uniformly distributed random variables (the convolution of two uniform distributions).
More results at FactBites »

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