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Encyclopedia > Baseball Prospectus

Baseball Prospectus, sometimes abbreviated as BP, is a think-tank focusing on the statistical analysis of the sport of baseball, which is also known as sabermetrics. The analysis featured on the site and in their annual book covers a diverse array of topics, from the value of individual plays, like bunts and stolen bases, to overall theory on roster construction. BP has often been considered the modern successor to Bill James' Baseball Abstract series of books in the 1980s. A think tank is an organization, institute, corporation, or group that conducts research, typically funded by governmental and commercial clients, in the areas of social or political strategy, technology, and armament. ... A view of the playing field at Busch Stadium II St. ... Sabermetrics is the analysis of baseball through objective evidence, especially baseball statistics. ... This article or section does not cite its references or sources. ... The 1980s refers to the years of 1980 to 1989. ...


Baseball Prospectus produces several products for baseball enthusiasts:

  • The web site BaseballProspectus.com, which contains articles, statistical reports, and fantasy baseball tools. Some content and reports are free; since 2003, some have only been available to paid subscribers.
  • A best-selling annual book (Baseball Prospectus 2006 [1]) that contains statistics and analysis of the past season and forecasts of the upcoming season.
  • Other baseball-related books, such as Mind Game: How the Boston Red Sox Got Smart, Won a World Series, and Created a New Blueprint for Winning (2005) (ISBN 0-7611-4018-2) and Baseball Between the Numbers (2006) (ISBN 0-465-00596-9).
  • A syndicated and podcasted radio show, Baseball Prospectus Radio[2].

Baseball Prospectus has fathered several popular new statistical tools which have become hallmarks of baseball analysis, including VORP (Value over replacement player)[3], PAP (Pitcher Abuse Points)[4], EqA (Equivalent average)[5], PERA (Peripheral ERA), and PECOTA[6]). Voros McCracken's pathbreaking article on DIPS also first appeared on the BP website.[7] In baseball, value over replacement player (or VORP) is a statistic which demonstrates how much a player contributes offensively and defensively to his team in comparison to a fictitious replacement player, who is an average fielder at his position and a below average hitter. ... Equivalent Average (EqA) is a baseball metric invented by Clay Davenport, and intended to express the production of hitters in a context independent of park and league effects. ... Peripheral ERA is a pitching statistic created by the Baseball Prospectus team. ... PECOTA, an acronym for Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm, is a sabermetric system for predicting Major League Baseball player performance. ... Robert Vörös McCracken is a prominent sabermetrician. ... In baseball, Defense Independent Pitching Statistics (DIPS), also known as DIPS ERA (dERA), is a sabermetric statistic which measures a pitchers effectiveness based only on plays which are completely under his control: home runs allowed, strikeouts, and walks. ...


The analysis and statistics favored by Baseball Prospectus are similar to the principles followed by Oakland A's General Manager Billy Beane as featured in the book, Moneyball by Michael Lewis. Oakland Athletics American League AAA Sacramento River Cats AA Midland RockHounds A Stockton Ports Kane County Cougars Vancouver Canadians R Phoenix Athletics The Oakland Athletics are a Major League Baseball team based in Oakland, California. ... William Lamar Billy Beane (born March 29, 1962 in Orlando, Florida) is a former Major League Baseball player and the current general manager of the Oakland Athletics. ... Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game is a book by Michael M. Lewis in 2003 about the general manager of the Major League Baseball team Oakland Athletics, Billy Beane, and his teams approach to running the organization. ... Michael Lewis, born in New Orleans, is an American contemporary non-fiction author. ...


Writers for BaseballProspectus.com

These are the current staff of writers for BaseballProspectus.com as of October 2006, sorted alphabetically by writer's last name. Many other writers contribute occasional articles to the website.

  • Jim Baker – joined the BaseballProspectus.com team in 2004 and writes the "Prospectus Matchups" weekly column, in which he discusses the best, worst, and most interesting baseball series of that week, as well as other topics that strike his fancy.
  • Maury Brown – debuted with a new weekly column on May 29, 2006, called "The Ledger Domain," in which he discusses the business of baseball. Brown is former co-chair of SABR’s Business of Baseball committee and was the creator of SABR’s business of baseball committee website BusinessOfBaseball.com.[8]. He now is editor of BizOfBaseball.com.[9], which reports on the business of baseball. Brown wrote an essay outlining the collusion rulings in the '80s in Rob Neyer's "Big Book of Baseball Blunders". Brown also a former columnist for The Hardball Times.
  • Alex Carnevale – starting in 2006 took over over the "Week in Quotes" column, which features the most provocative real and surreal utterances of Major League Baseball's players, managers, financiers, and hangers-on.
  • Will Carroll – writes the "Under The Knife" daily column. Each column leads with a brief intro, and then summarizes each of the news-worthy injuries of the day. Carroll also has published two books, one entitled Saving the Pitcher (ISBN 1-56663-578-0), and one called The Juice (ISBN 1-56663-668-X), which won the 2005 Sporting News-SABR Baseball Research Award. He also hosts the BP radio show. He is a contributor on the Fantasy 411. And for ESPN.com he writes a weekly "Carroll Injury Report" column on NFL injuries.
  • Clay Davenport – is responsible for many of the website's behind the scenes operations, including its advanced statistics and statistical reports. In addition, he writes occasional columns about new features on the site or other topics. Invented the metric EqA[10] (Equivalent average); created the Pythagenport Formula[11]; created the "Davenport Translations" or "DT's"[12] for translating minor league and international baseball statistcs into American major league baseball equivalents as well as for making major league performance statistics equivalent over time and context.
  • Neil deMause – writes occasional articles about stadium building and baseball finance. He is co-author of the 1999 book Field of Schemes: How the Great Stadium Swindle Turns Public Money into Private Profit (ISBN 1-56751-138-4). He also maintains his own website and writes about sundry matters including sports for the The Village Voice and other print and on-line publications.
  • John Erhardt – is the lead editor for BP and compiles weekly "This Week In Quotes" articles, featuring quotes from the previous week's action and discussion.
  • Dan Fox – writes a weekly "Schrodinger's Bat" column, usually employing hard-core sabermetric techniques, and analyzes varied problems at length. Fox is another Hardball Times alum.
  • Steven Goldman – writes "You Could Look It Up" columns, discussing baseball's history using the new statistical tools. Goldman edited BP's book Mind Game as well as authored his own book Forging Genius: The Making of Casey Stengel. (2005 -- ISBN 1-57488-873-0) (2006 -- ISBN 1-57488-874-9) Goldman also writes the "Pinstripe Bible"[13] and "Pinstripe Blog"[14] for the YES Network.
  • Kevin Goldstein – writes multiple-times-per week "Future Shock" columns on high school, college, and minor league player "prospects," with an emphasis on scouting rather than sabermetrics. He enhances the year-round content of Baseball Prospectus.com through his coverage of Winter League baseball, Spring training, the Major League Baseball draft, scouting, personnel development, and the baseball player marketplace.
  • Jay Jaffe – during the season compiles a weekly "Prospectus Hit List," which provide a ranking of all major league teams determined sabermetrically and then an analysis of the rankings. Created the widely cited JAWS score for evaluating Baseball Hall of Fame Prospects.[15]
  • Rany Jazayerli – writes occasional "Doctoring the Numbers" columns. He also compiles the annual Top 50 Prospects list, although he does not determine the rankings alone but rather with the help of the other BP authors. Invented the concept of PAP (Pitcher Abuse Points).[16]
  • Christina Kahrl – writes bi-weekly "Transaction Analysis" columns, listing and then commenting on each of the 30 major league team's transactions for the time period given.
  • Marc Normandin – joined the BP staff in 2006 and writes the weekly "Player Profile" column in which he analyzes the record and performance of a particular player from a sabermetric perspective. He also runs a sabermetric website entitled Beyond the Box Score.
  • Joe Sheehan – discusses an important topic from the previous day's action in the daily "Prospectus Today" column. Joe co-edited the first Baseball Prospectus annual volume, which appeared in 1996, and is one of BP's founders.
  • Nate Silver – is the executive vice-president of Baseball Prospectus and writes a weekly "Lies, Damned Lies" column, which often debunks current common baseball opinion. Created the PECOTA forecasting system for hitter and pitcher performance.[17]
  • Keith Woolner – writes "Aim For The Head" columns, discussing statistics and how they help to interpret the game. Works behind the scenes on the "statistics" section of the website. Invented the concept of VORP (Value over replacement player)[18] [19].

This article is an autobiography, and may not conform to Wikipedias NPOV policy. ... The XM29 Objective Individual Combat Weapon (OICW), also referred to as the Selectable Assault Battle Rifle, is a highly advanced new assault rifle / grenade launcher system slated to replace certain M-16 assault rifles with M203 underslung grenade launcher. ... Rob Neyer is a baseball author and, since 1996, a columnist for ESPN.com. ... The Hardball Times (abbreviated as THT) is a baseball web site that generates daily, original baseball commentary and analysis for regular baseball fans. ... The Fantasy 411 is an MLB radio broadcast on MLB.com. ... Clay Davenport is a baseball sabermetrician and a writer for the Baseball Prospectus. ... Equivalent Average (EqA) is a baseball metric invented by Clay Davenport, and intended to express the production of hitters in a context independent of park and league effects. ... The Yankees Entertainment and Sports (YES) Network is a New York City regional cable TV channel dedicated to broadcasting baseball games of the New York Yankees, and basketball games of the New Jersey Nets. ... A Grapefruit League game at the LA Dodgers camp in Vero Beach, Florida In Major League Baseball, spring training is a series of exhibition games which precedes the regular season. ... The Major League Baseball First-Year Player Draft is held every year in June by conference call among the 30 Major League clubs. ... Joseph S. (Joe) Sheehan was born in New York City, graduated with a degree in journalism from the University of Southern California in 1994, and lives in the Los Angeles area. ... Nate Silver is Executive Vice-President of Baseball Prospectus. ... PECOTA, an acronym for Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm, is a sabermetric system for predicting Major League Baseball player performance. ... Keith Woolner is an author for Baseball Prospectus and is the creator of the runs-based statistic VORP or Value Over Replacement Player. ... In baseball, value over replacement player (or VORP) is a statistic which demonstrates how much a player contributes offensively and defensively to his team in comparison to a fictitious replacement player, who is an average fielder at his position and a below average hitter. ...

Books Published by Baseball Prospectus

  • Baseball Prospectus ’96. Joe Sheehan, Clay Davenport, and Gary Huckabay, Eds. Self-published. 1996.
  • Baseball Prospectus '97. Joe Sheehan, Clay Davenport, and Gary Huckabay, Eds. Washington, D.C.: Potomac Books Inc. (former Brassey’s Inc.), 1997. ISBN 0-9655674-0-0.
  • Baseball Prospectus: 1998. Gary Huckabay, Ed. Washington D.C.: Potomac Books Inc. (former Brassey’s Inc.), 1998. ISBN 1-57488-177-9.
  • Baseball Prospectus: 1999. Clay Davenport, Chris Kahrl, Keith Law, Rany Jazayerli, and Joseph Sheehan, Eds. Washington, D.C.: Potomac Books Inc. (former Brassey's Inc.), 1999. ISBN 1-57488-192-2.
  • Baseball Prospectus 2000. Chris Kahrl, Clay Davenport, Joseph S,. Sheehan, and Rany Jazayerli, Eds. Washington, D.C.: Potomac Books, Inc. (former Brassey’s Inc.), 2000. ISBN 1-57488-214-7.
  • Baseball Prospectus 2001. Joseph S. Sheehan, Chris Kahrl, Clay Davenport, Eds. Washington, D.C.: Potomac Books Inc. (former Brassey’s Inc.), 2000. ISBN 1-57488-323-2.
  • Baseball Prospectus 2002. Joseph S. Sheehan, Ed. Washington, D.C.: Potomac Books Inc. (former Brassey’s Inc.), 2002. ISBN 1-57488-428-X.
  • Baseball Prospectus 2003. Gary Huckabay, Chris Kahrl, Dave Pease, Eds. Washington, D.C.: Potomac Books, Inc. (former Brassey’s Inc.), 2003. ISBN 1-57488-561-8.
  • Baseball Prospectus 2004. Baseball Prospectus Team of Experts on Baseball Talent. New York: Workman Publishing Co., 2004. ISBN 0-7611-3402-6.
  • Baseball Prospectus 2005. Baseball Prospectus Team of Experts on Baseball Talent. New York: Workman Publishing Co., 2005. ISBN 0-7611-3578-2.
  • Baseball Prospectus 2006. Steven Goldman and Christina Kahrl, Eds. New York: Workman Publishing Co., 2006. ISBN 0-7611-3995-8.
  • Baseball Prospectus 2007. Steven Goldman and Christina Kahrl, Eds. New York: Penguin (Plume), 2007. ISBN 0-452-28825-8.
  • Mind Game: How the Boston Red Sox Got Smart, Won a World Series, and Created a New Blueprint for Winning. Steven Goldman, Ed. New York: Workman Publishing Co., 2005. ISBN 0-7611-4018-2.
  • Baseball Between the Numbers: Why Everything You Know about the Game Is Wrong. Jonah Keri, Ed. New York: Basic Books, 2006. ISBN 0-465-00596-9 (hardback) and ISBN 0-465-00547-0 (paperback).

  Results from FactBites:
 
Baseball Prospectus - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia (860 words)
Baseball Prospectus, sometimes abbreviated as BP, is a think-tank focusing on the statistical analysis of the sport of baseball, which is also known as sabermetrics.
Baseball Prospectus has fathered several popular new statistical tools which have become hallmarks of baseball analysis, including VORP (Value over replacement player)[3], PAP (Pitcher Abuse Points)[4], EqA (Equivalent average)[5], and PECOTA (a player forecasting system[6]).
The analysis and statistics favored by Baseball Prospectus are similar to the principles followed by Oakland A's General Manager Billy Beane as featured in the book, Moneyball by Michael Lewis.
  More results at FactBites »

 
 

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